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Twenty Democrats, one nomination; a course of a year and a half

377edd61430bc9f6c91c7e5da9b6aa0c - Twenty Democrats, one nomination; a course of a year and a half

In the United States are now twenty Democrats candidate in 2020 the election to go with Donald Trump. Which way and hurdles they must sit?

For candidates who want to compete for the nomination for the battle for the presidency of the U.S., is slowly gaining the momentum has arrived to make themselves known. In the Republican camp are the cards …

For candidates who want to compete for the nomination for the battle for the presidency of the U.S., is slowly gaining the momentum has arrived to make themselves known. In the Republican camp, the cards are quite easily shaken. President Trump made the application for his own ambtsopvolging immediately known after his inauguration in 2017. The only partijgenoot that in this he single-handedly wants to thwart, is former governor Bill Weld. Many opportunities will be him, not the crosses, but Weld wants to own say especially with his conscience in the pure remain.

As expected from a party from the opposition, the interest in the Democrats for a nomination has to be significantly greater. So far, I have located fewer than twenty candidates reported. According to America-kenner, Bart Kerremans (KU Leuven) will at most be a few less known names on the list. With Joe Biden seem to be, according to him, now all the big and expected names well-known to the Democrats.

Invisible primary

The majority of the Democratic candidates made in march and april. This choice is not so much driven by approaching formal deadlines, but by a strategic approach to get as much media attention and thus fundraising to achieve. ‘This will start the invisible primary,’ says Kerremans. ‘In the run-up to the real primaries search for candidates for the right moments to as much as possible attention to the favors to win sponsors. Financial resources are of great importance for a successful campaign.’

While the candidates have to raise funds, will be available starting this summer, the eyes are focused on the Democrats. In June start a series of six debates among them that lasts until the end of this year. Due to the large number of candidates in the debates may be spread over several evenings. In this period, will likely be the first candidates to drop out before the primaries are up and start.

Absurd situations

The first of these primaries will take place on 3 February 2020 in Iowa. Political scientist Stefaan Walgrave University of Antwerp sees in this sometimes absurd situations occur. “There are different variants, with voters already registered or not required to be for a party. In so-called open primaries, it is possible, for example, that Republicans can vote in their eyes as convenient as possible for the Democratic challenger. Or the other way around. That are states that we in Belgium do not know.’

What we got during the American primaries, however, recognize, is the strategic vote. According to Walgrave to make voters often have a choice between a candidate who matches their own personal ideology and a candidate who in this case has the potential to be Donald Trump to beat. Also in Belgium see you this choice: we vote for a party that is based on our ideology, or we vote in function of a desired coalition.’

Vliegwieleffect

There are a total of 56 primaries, the latter of which takes place in June next year. In this period, among the candidates, an elimination race arise, which is determined by previous results, views in the polls, and not least the available resources. ‘You often see a vliegwieleffect occur, whereby successful candidates more and more funds to know to recruit. It has been previously shown that large companies are financially in the fight to have any policy and benefit from it,’ decision Walgrave.

Normally, towards the end of the primaries in, say, may or June 2020, when both the Democrats and Republicans know who the nomination of his party will be wearing. The Democrats to ratify this nomination at their convention in July, the Republicans do that a month later. In the run-up to the conventions, or possibly during the convention itself, appoint the nominees, their running mate.

After the conventions, the campaigns completely on steam and found in september and October the famous tv debates between the presidential candidates. On november 3, 2020 to attract the Americans finally go to the polls, after a campaign of nearly a year and a half which is now already deployed. For the real datafetisjisten, circle the letter of 20 January 2021 in advance for the inauguration of the winning candidate.

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