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There is Kim again

A second summit between Kim Jong-un and Donald Trump is probably in for this year. In preparation for the Great Leader, equally to China were drawn.

North Korean leader Kim Jong-un would have with a number of prominent strategists signaled in Beijing. Reported that both the North Korean and Chinese state television. The unexpected visit would be …

North Korean leader Kim Jong-un would have with a number of prominent strategists signaled in Beijing. Reported that both the North Korean and Chinese state television. The unexpected visit would last three days. According to the BBC the fourth time in less than a year that Kim Jong-un to China.

Many analysts see the visit as a moment in which Kim’s strategy is discussing with the Chinese. They should also be a signal for the Americans. Kim wants to demonstrate that he has influential friends in influential places. The Chinese are an insurance policy for Kim: other than Japan and the US, Beijing is not very strict compared to North Korea and will never allow that so close to its territory, a U.s. military operation.

A new year, a new top?

Kim’s China trip comes amid speculation around a second, important meeting between Kim and Donald Trump. According to Trump himself, at the moment there is ‘indirect contact’. There would be searched for a location for the new summit.

What was the balance sheet of the previous meeting in Singapore, in June 2018? Trump fans cheered when that North Korea is ‘resolved’, because the words ” nuclear disarmament of the Korean peninsula’ in the vague final were. Opponents cried that Trump to be a heavy symbolic concession to North Korea had done: according to them, there had to be first North Korean concessions, and then the honor of an American presidential visit. Also put Trump the joint military exercises with South Korea to stop, a serious trump card.

We don’t know

The conclusion of the eminent North-Korea-analyst Stephan Haggard is sobering: according to him, we know it just isn’t. “Without a clear picture of what Trump wants to give and what risks he and his team want to take, we can’t say whether or not that first summit has been a success or not,” he wrote last year on North Korea News.

There is, incidentally, the core of the problem: what is Trump, what would his team and is there agreement on? Because, while national security advisor John Bolton, a hawk is in the field of disarmament, no compromise will do, seemed to Trump all happy that he is even praise of the domestic media got. In the meanwhile his attention back to the wall, and the ‘shutdown’.

So is 2019 again the year of the excitement and the unpredictability.

China and North Korea, best friends?

China and North Korea is required. But that is not to say that they are in cahoots to play. In China, it is contempt for the ‘unpredictable’ Kim large, both for the regime as in the population. China supports the international sanctions against North Korea. Might want to Kim the Chinese, who in the UN Security council sit, to convince people to that to weaken.

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